Saturday, October 09, 2004
Local political blogging guru Mathew Gross issued a challenge to predict the outcome of the upcoming presidential election prior to last night's debate. I was in a hurry to get to a wedding rehearsal, but I did post my prediction in the comments section prior to the debate.
I think Bush will get a narrow win. Kerry has narrowed the gap, and leads in some polls, but I think that years of branding itself as the "tough" party will pay off for the GOP in voting booths across the country.
My posted prediction is (I have not watched my tape of last night's debate):
Bush 286 electoral votes 49.2% of popular vote
Kerry 252 electoral votes 49.4% of popular vote
Others 0 electoral votes 1.4% of popular vote
I think Bush will get a narrow win. Kerry has narrowed the gap, and leads in some polls, but I think that years of branding itself as the "tough" party will pay off for the GOP in voting booths across the country.
My posted prediction is (I have not watched my tape of last night's debate):
Bush 286 electoral votes 49.2% of popular vote
Kerry 252 electoral votes 49.4% of popular vote
Others 0 electoral votes 1.4% of popular vote
